Hurricane Lorenzo

Forecast Advisory 25



293
WTNT23 KNHC 282039
TCMAT3

HURRICANE LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132019
2100 UTC SAT SEP 28 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LORENZO.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 45.0W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 MB
EYE DIAMETER 35 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE 45SE 35SW 45NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 90SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT.......240NE 200SE 110SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 330SE 390SW 390NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 45.0W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 45.0W

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 24.6N 44.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 45NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...210NE 200SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 26.3N 44.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 55NE 55SE 45SW 50NW.
50 KT...110NE 110SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 130SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 28.0N 43.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 55SE 50SW 50NW.
50 KT...110NE 110SE 80SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 210SE 150SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 29.7N 42.9W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
50 KT...110NE 110SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...220NE 230SE 160SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 34.8N 38.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT...130NE 150SE 120SW 90NW.
34 KT...250NE 260SE 220SW 200NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 42.5N 26.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 49.0N 13.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.3N 45.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG