Hurricane Lorenzo

Forecast Advisory 39

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057
WTNT23 KNHC 020247
TCMAT3

HURRICANE LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 39
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132019
0300 UTC WED OCT 02 2019

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLORES...CORVO...FAIAL...PICO...SAO JORGE...GRACIOSA...TERCEIRA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAO MIGUEL...SANTA MARIA

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.1N 32.7W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 35 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT.......100NE 130SE 120SW 80NW.
50 KT.......200NE 240SE 230SW 150NW.
34 KT.......300NE 340SE 300SW 270NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 600SE 660SW 680NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.1N 32.7W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.8N 34.2W

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 42.7N 28.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT...100NE 130SE 120SW 80NW.
50 KT...200NE 240SE 230SW 150NW.
34 KT...300NE 340SE 300SW 270NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 48.4N 21.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT...100NE 130SE 120SW 80NW.
50 KT...200NE 240SE 230SW 150NW.
34 KT...300NE 340SE 300SW 270NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 52.8N 15.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT...100NE 120SE 110SW 60NW.
50 KT...160NE 200SE 200SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 330SE 330SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 54.1N 10.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...100NE 160SE 160SW 60NW.
34 KT...250NE 300SE 330SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 52.3N .5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 0SE 150SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.1N 32.7W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 02/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART