Tropical Storm Alpha
Public Advisory 5
000
WTNT35 KNHC 231436
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALPHA ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SUN OCT 23 2005
...ALPHA WEAKENS OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF HISPANIOLA...TORRENTIAL RAINS
WILL CONTINUE...
AT 11 AM...1500Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE ENTIRE
COASTLINES OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS
AND FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION ALPHA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE
72.5 WEST OR ABOUT 175 MILES...285 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF SANTO
DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND ABOUT 140 MILES...225
KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GREAT INAGUA ISLAND IN THE BAHAMAS.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH
...24 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH... 55
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT ALFA COULD REGAIN
TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH WHEN THE CENTER MOVES BACK OVER WATER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER MUCH OF HISPANIOLA...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THESE RAINS COULD
PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...19.2 N... 72.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM
EDT.
FORECASTER AVILA
$$
000
WTNT34 KNHC 231449
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE WILMA ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT SUN OCT 23 2005
...WILMA MOVING NORTHEASTWARD OVER WARM GULF WATERS...COULD
INTENSIFY TODAY OR TONIGHT...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA
KEYS...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY...ALONG THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM LONGBOAT KEY SOUTHWARD...AND ALONG THE
FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM TITUSVILLE SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST NORTH OF LONGBOAT KEY TO STEINHATCHEE RIVER...AND ALONG THE
FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF TITUSVILLE TO FLAGLER BEACH.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH.
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL
HURRICANE WARNINGS FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. HOWEVER...A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM SAN FELIPE TO TULUM...INCLUDING COZUMEL AND
THE NEARBY ISLANDS. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM WEST OF SAN
FELIPE TO PROGRESO HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...LA HABANA...AND PINAR DEL RIO. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A HURRICANE
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCE OF MATANZAS.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...
BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 85.8 WEST OR ABOUT 285
MILES... 460 KM... WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA... OR ABOUT
340 MILES... 545 KM... SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA.
WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WILMA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE TODAY OR TONIGHT.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 200 MILES...325 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 961 MB...28.38 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 8 TO 13 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS
POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST NEAR AND TO THE
SOUTH OF WHERE THE CENTER OF WILMA MAKES LANDFALL. STORM SURGE
FLOODING OF 5 TO 8 FT ABOVE NORMAL IS POSSIBLE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS
AND FLORIDA BAY...AS WELL AS IN LAKE OKEECHOBEE. STORM SURGE
FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
COAST OF FLORIDA. STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
AND THE NEARBY ISLANDS SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE AS WILMA MOVES
AWAY.
WILMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10
TO 15 INCHES THROUGH SUNDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA AND 2 TO
4 INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA... WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS APPROACHING 50 INCHES. RAINFALL ACROSS
SOUTHERN FLORIDA INCLUDING THE KEYS THROUGH TUESDAY IS EXPECTED TO
BE 4 TO 8 INCHES... WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES
POSSIBLE.
LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY WILMA WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE INTO THE
EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THESE SWELLS COULD AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST TODAY AND TONIGHT.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY AND TONIGHT.
REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...22.7 N... 85.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 961 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 PM
CDT.
FORECASTER KNABB
$$
