Hurricane Emily

Public Advisory 11



000
WTNT34 KWNH 131438
TCPAT4


PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 37 FOR REMNANTS OF DENNIS
NWS...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...CAMP SPRINGS MD
10 AM CDT WED JUL 13 2005

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION DENNIS DOWNGRADED TO A REMNANT LOW...

RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE CONASAUGA
RIVER...OOSTANAULA RIVER...OCONEE RIVER...AND THE FLINT RIVER OF
GEORGIA.

AT 10 AM CDT...15Z...THE REMNANTS OF DENNIS WERE LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 39.1 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 87.4 WEST...OR 125 MILES WEST
NORTHWEST OF LEXINGTON KENTUCKY.

THE REMNANTS OF DENNIS HAVE CONTINUED TO BE NEARLY STATIONARY
SINCE THE LAST ADVISORY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 15 MPH WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS STILL 1009 MB...OR 29.80 INCHES.

THE REMNANTS OF DENNIS ARE NOW EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ONLY ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING...THEREFORE THE FLOODING THREAT WITH DENNIS HAS
DIMINISHED.

SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 7 AM CDT
WENESDAY...

...MISSOURI...

THOMPSON LANDING 5.52 THROUGH 7 AM CDT TUESDAY
WILLIAMSVILLE 3.81 THROUGH 7 AM CDT TUESDAY
FISK 3.75 THROUGH 1 PM CDT TUESDAY
CAPE GIRARDEAU 3.51
FARMINGTON 2.26 THROUGH 7 PM CDT TUESDAY

...ILLINOIS...

GRAND CHAIN 3.65 THROUGH 7 AM CDT TUESDAY
CHESTER 3.00 THROUGH 7 AM CDT TUESDAY
LEBANON 2.94 THROUGH 7 AM CDT TUESDAY
STEELVILLE 2.35 THROUGH 7 AM CDT TUESDAY
BELLEVILLE 2.34
CARBONDALE 2.12
MOUNT VERNON 1.64 THROUGH 1 PM CDT TUESDAY

...INDIANA...

EVANSVILLE 1.15
BLOOMINGTON 0.81
INDIANAPOLIS 0.72

...ALABAMA...

CAMDEN 6.27 THROUGH 7 AM CDT MONDAY
WEST BLOCTON 5.28 THROUGH 7 AM CDT MONDAY
SAMANTHA 4.34 THROUGH 7 AM CDT MONDAY
LIVINGSTON 4.21 THROUGH 7 AM CDT MONDAY
TUSCALOOSA 3.72 THROUGH 1 PM CDT MONDAY

...ARKANSAS...

PARKIN 3.97 THROUGH 1 PM CDT MONDAY
RIVERFRONT 3.24 THROUGH 1 PM CDT MONDAY
BENTON 2.96 THROUGH 1 PM CDT MONDAY
SAINT FRANCIS 2.58 THROUGH 7 AM CDT TUESDAY
BLYTHEVILLE 2.57

...FLORIDA...

BRISTOL 8.30 THROUGH 7 AM CDT MONDAY
TALLAHASSEE 6.64 THROUGH 7 AM CDT MONDAY

...GEORGIA...

AUSTELL 10.66 THROUGH 7 AM CDT MONDAY
WEST ATLANTA 9.10 THROUGH 7 AM CDT MONDAY
MOLENA 7.83 THROUGH 7 AM CDT MONDAY
ATLANTA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT 6.72 THROUGH 1 PM CDT MONDAY

...KENTUCKY...

PADUCAH 3.04
FORT KNOX 1.83
LOUISVILLE 1.23

...MISSISSIPPI...

MERIDIAN 3.18 THROUGH 1 PM CDT MONDAY
COLUMBUS 3.16 THROUGH 1 PM CDT MONDAY
TUPELO 1.86 THROUGH 7 PM CDT MONDAY

...TENNESSEE...

BLYTHEVILLE 2.30 THROUGH 7 PM CDT MONDAY
SELMER 2.14 THROUGH 7 PM CDT MONDAY
TUPELO 1.83 THROUGH 7 PM CDT MONDAY
CHATTANOOGA 1.83 THROUGH 7 PM CDT MONDAY
DICKSON 1.30 THROUGH 7 PM CDT TUESDAY


REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...39.1 NORTH...87.4 WEST... THE
SYSTEM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 15 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB OR 29.80 INCHES.

THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON DENNIS THAT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.


FRIES

$$




000
WTNT35 KNHC 131447
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM EMILY ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST WED JUL 13 2005

...EMILY CONTINUES WESTWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH...

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF VENEZUELA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM CUMANA TO CARACAS...INCLUDING THE
OFFSHORE ISLANDS NORTH OF THE WATCH AREA.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TOBAGO...GRENADA...
THE GRENADINES... ST. VINCENT...AND ST. LUCIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
TRINIDAD.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF
VENEZUELA FROM PEDERNALES WESTWARD TO CUMANA...INCLUDING ISLA
MARGARITA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MARTINIQUE.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF EMILY.

A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24
HOURS. A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 36
HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EMILY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 58.1 WEST OR ABOUT
165 MILES... 270 KM... SOUTHEAST OF BARBADOS AND ABOUT 225 MILES...
360 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF TRINIDAD.

EMILY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH ...32 KM/HR...AND A WEST
TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF EMILY WILL BE PASSING THROUGH
THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS THIS EVENING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. EMILY STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO REACH HURRICANE STRENGTH
BEFORE IT CLEARS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES
...150 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

EMILY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6
INCHES ACROSS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AND PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN
COASTAL AREA OF VENEZUELA...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 12
INCHES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE PATH OF THE
CENTER.

REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...11.2 N... 58.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM AST.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


$$