Hurricane Emily

Public Advisory 39B

---

000
WTNT35 KNHC 201249
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE EMILY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 39B
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM CDT WED JUL 20 2005

...EMILY MAKES LANDFALL IN NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AS A CATEGORY THREE
HURRICANE...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER TEXAS COAST FROM PORT
MANSFIELD SOUTHWARD TO THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN MEXICO FROM
SOUTH OF THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER TO LA CRUZ AND A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD
TO BAFFIN BAY TEXAS.

A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 8 AM CDT...1300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.7 WEST. THIS POSITION IS JUST
INLAND OF THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO ABOUT 30 MILES... 50
KM...EAST OF SAN FERNANDO MEXICO. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 75 MILES...
120 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.

EMILY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...16 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...
TAKING EMILY FARTHER INLAND ACROSS NORTHEASTERN MEXICO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THIS MAKES EMILY A DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. EMILY WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN THIS MORNING AS
THE CENTER MOVES FARTHER INLAND...WITH MORE RAPID WEAKENING
EXPECTED TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 160 MILES...260 KM. SAN FERNANDO MEXICO RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND
GUST OF 60 MPH...WHILE BROWNSVILLE RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED
WIND OF 45 MPH WITH A GUST TO 59 MPH.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 945 MB...27.91 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 7 TO 11 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...WITH HIGHER LEVELS IN BAYS...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND
DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH
OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.

THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS LIKELY OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO WHERE 5 TO
10 INCHES ARE LIKELY WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES
POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4
INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS AND THE LOWER RIO GRANDE
VALLEY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHERN AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
TEXAS.

REPEATING THE 8 AM CDT POSITION...24.8 N... 97.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 945 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 10 AM CDT.

FORECASTER STEWART


$$