Hurricane Nate

Public Advisory 11



000
WTNT31 KNHC 080842
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT THU SEP 08 2005

...OPHELIA SLOWLY GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT REMAINS STATIONARY
EAST OF THE CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM COCOA BEACH NORTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA
COAST FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH. A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NORTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA...AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 79.5 WEST OR ABOUT
70 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA.

OPHELIA HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. STEERING
CURRENTS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN WEAK...SO SOME ERRATIC MOTION...
INCLUDING SMALL LOOPS...WILL BE POSSIBLE. HOWEVER... A GENERAL
NORTHWARD DRIFT IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND NOAA
LAND-BASED DOPPLER RADARS INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES
...MAINLY NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. NOAA DOPPLER RADAR DATA INDICATE
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE OCCURRING WITHIN 25 MILES OF CAPE
CANAVERAL.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.

OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO
3 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN FLORIDA...AND
SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 5
INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...28.7 N... 79.5 W. MOVEMENT
...STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT.

FORECASTER STEWART


$$


000
WTNT34 KNHC 080843
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST THU SEP 08 2005

...MARIA MOVING OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC...LOSING TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS...

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 38.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 48.5 WEST OR ABOUT 1005
MILES...1620 KM... EAST-NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA AND ABOUT 1165
MILES...1875 KM...WEST OF THE AZORES.

MARIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH ...20 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND
MARIA SHOULD LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS FRIDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 230 MILES...370 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...38.3 N... 48.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 982 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM AST.

FORECASTER ROBERTS/STEWART


$$


000
WTNT35 KNHC 080847
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE NATE ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT THU SEP 08 2005

...HURRICANE NATE PASSING WELL SOUTH OF BERMUDA...

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS DISCONTINUED
THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR BERMUDA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. THE WARNING
WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NATE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 64.6 WEST OR ABOUT 145 MILES...
235 KM... SOUTH OF BERMUDA.

NATE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION...WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NATE IS
CURRENTLY MAKING ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO BERMUDA...AND WILL
GRADUALLY MOVE FARTHER AWAY FROM THE ISLAND LATER TODAY DAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS MEASURED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. NATE IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES...185 KM. A WIND GUST TO 43 MPH WAS RECENTLY REPORTED
ON BERMUDA.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES.

NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3
INCHES IN BERMUDA.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH
LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE POSSIBLE IN BERMUDA.

REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...30.2 N... 64.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 982 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT.

FORECASTER STEWART


$$