Hurricane Ophelia
Public Advisory 39
000
WTNT31 KNHC 152036
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 39
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT THU SEP 15 2005
...OPHELIA WEAKENING AS IT DRIFT SLOWLY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD OFF
THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS...
...NEW WATCHES AND WARNINGS ISSUED...
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA FROM CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH
CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
AT 5 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS FROM WOODS HOLE NORTHWARD TO CAPE COD AND PLYMOUTH...
INCLUDING MARTHA'S VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET ISLANDS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 34.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 75.6 WEST OR ABOUT 30 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 60 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.
OPHELIA IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 3 MPH...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT. OPHELIA IS FORECAST
TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT A SLIGHTLY FASTER FORWARD SPEED ON
FRIDAY. HOWEVER... SOME ERRATIC MOTION WILL BE POSSIBLE SINCE
STEERING CURRENTS ARE WEAK. ALSO...WHILE THE CENTER OF OPHELIA IS
FORECAST TO REMAIN JUST OFFSHORE THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS...
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN EYEWALL ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER OR
NEAR THE OUTER BANKS FOR THE NEXT 12 TO POSSIBLY 24 HOURS.
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...MAINLY
NORTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES. DURING THE PAST
HOUR... A GUST TO 85 MPH WAS REPORTED BY A NOAA BUOY LOCATED AT
DIAMOND SHOALS.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.
MAXIMUM COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN
BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. A STORM SURGE OF 6 TO 8
FEET IS POSSIBLE AT THE HEADS OF BAYS AND RIVERS.
OPHELIA MAY PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 INCHES
OVER PORTIONS OF NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...34.8 N... 75.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT.
FORECASTER STEWART
$$
000
WTNT31 KNHC 152047
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 39...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT THU SEP 15 2005
CORRECTED TO INCLUDE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS IN WARNING AREA
...OPHELIA WEAKENING AS IT DRIFT SLOWLY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD OFF
THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS...
...NEW WATCHES AND WARNINGS ISSUED...
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA FROM CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH
CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE
PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...AND THE CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW
POINT COMFORT.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
AT 5 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS FROM WOODS HOLE NORTHWARD TO CAPE COD AND PLYMOUTH...
INCLUDING MARTHA'S VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET ISLANDS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 34.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 75.6 WEST OR ABOUT 30 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 60 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.
OPHELIA IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 3 MPH...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT. OPHELIA IS FORECAST
TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT A SLIGHTLY FASTER FORWARD SPEED ON
FRIDAY. HOWEVER... SOME ERRATIC MOTION WILL BE POSSIBLE SINCE
STEERING CURRENTS ARE WEAK. ALSO...WHILE THE CENTER OF OPHELIA IS
FORECAST TO REMAIN JUST OFFSHORE THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS...
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN EYEWALL ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER OR
NEAR THE OUTER BANKS FOR THE NEXT 12 TO POSSIBLY 24 HOURS.
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...MAINLY
NORTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES. DURING THE PAST
HOUR... A GUST TO 85 MPH WAS REPORTED BY A NOAA BUOY LOCATED AT
DIAMOND SHOALS.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.
MAXIMUM COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN
BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. A STORM SURGE OF 6 TO 8
FEET IS POSSIBLE AT THE HEADS OF BAYS AND RIVERS.
OPHELIA MAY PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 INCHES
OVER PORTIONS OF NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...34.8 N... 75.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT.
FORECASTER STEWART
$$
