Hurricane Stan

Public Advisory 9

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000
WTNT35 KNHC 031430
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM STAN ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT MON OCT 03 2005

...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED AS STAN CONTINUES WESTWARD IN THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE...

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM CABO
ROJO SOUTHWARD TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO. ALTHOUGH HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE NOT EXPECTED TO REACH THE COASTLINE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL ARRIVE WELL IN ADVANCE OF
THE CENTER...AND PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD
BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE WARNING AREA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM STAN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 92.3 WEST OR ABOUT 330
MILES... 535 KM... EAST OF TUXPAN MEXICO AND ABOUT 265 MILES... 430
KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO.

STAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH ...17 KM/HR. A MOTION
JUST SOUTH OF DUE WEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND
STAN COULD BECOME A HURRICANE TOMORROW. AN AIR FORCE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE CENTER OF STAN
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES
...185 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN
ISOLATED LOCATIONS OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.

REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...20.4 N... 92.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 997 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 PM CDT.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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