Hurricane Dean
Public Advisory 12A
093
WTNT35 KNHC 161153
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052007
700 AM CDT THU AUG 16 2007
...ERIN MAKING LANDFALL ON THE TEXAS COAST NEAR LAMAR AND WEAKENS TO
A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...
AT 700 AM CDT...1200Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE TEXAS
COAST HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 700 AM CDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN IS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.2 WEST...NEAR LAMAR
TEXAS OR ABOUT 25 MILES...40 KM...NORTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19
KM/HR. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...BRINGING THE CENTER
FARTHER INLAND TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES
OVER LAND TODAY.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH
OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN TEXAS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE MIDDLE TEXAS GULF COAST
TODAY.
REPEATING THE 700 AM CDT POSITION...28.0 N...97.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1000 AM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
213
WTNT34 KNHC 161156
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE DEAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007
800 AM AST THU AUG 16 2007
...STRENGTHENING DEAN SPEEDS TOWARD THE LESSER ANTILLES...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLANDS OF DOMINICA
AND ST. LUCIA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.
A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE ISLANDS OF MARTINIQUE...
GUADELOUPE AND ITS DEPENDENCIES...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS. A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. HURRICANE OR TROPICAL
STORM WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR SOME OF THESE ISLANDS
LATER THIS MORNING.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
AT 800 AM AST...1200Z...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED BY
THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF ANTIGUA FOR THE ISLANDS OF
MONTSERRAT...ANTIGUA...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND BARBUDA. A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ST. VINCENT AND ST. MAARTEN. A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS COULD BE ISSUED FOR SOME OF
THESE ISLANDS LATER THIS MORNING.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES...THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND HISPANIOLA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF DEAN.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 800 AM AST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 13.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.3 WEST OR ABOUT 415 MILES...
665 KM...EAST OF BARBADOS AND ABOUT 510 MILES...820 KM...EAST OF
MARTINIQUE.
DEAN IS MOVING QUICKLY TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 24 MPH...39 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS
MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF DEAN NEAR THE LESSER ANTILLES ON
FRIDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. DEAN IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-
SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WILL
INVESTIGATE DEAN THIS AFTERNOON.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70
MILES...110 KM.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS POSSIBLE
NEAR THE CENTER OF DEAN.
STORM TOTAL RAINFALLS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 7 INCHES IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...ARE POSSIBLE IN
ASSOCIATION WITH DEAN. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
REPEATING THE 800 AM AST POSITION...13.5 N...53.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 24 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA
