Tropical Storm Karen
Public Advisory 15
396
WTNT33 KNHC 281442
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LORENZO ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132007
1000 AM CDT FRI SEP 28 2007
...LORENZO WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AS IT MOVES FARTHER
INLAND...
AT 10 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION LORENZO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.4 WEST OR ABOUT
70 MILES...115 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TUXPAN MEXICO.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. THIS
GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION IN A DAY OR SO.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.
LORENZO IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN OVER LAND.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
LORENZO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...
OVER PORTIONS OF EAST-CENTRAL MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
REPEATING THE 1000 AM CDT POSITION...20.6 N...98.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
400 PM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
567
WTNT32 KNHC 281443
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KAREN ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007
1100 AM AST FRI SEP 28 2007
...KAREN CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC...
AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.2 WEST OR ABOUT 805
MILES...1295 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.
KAREN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS DUE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...15.1 N...49.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA
638
WTNT34 KNHC 281443
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142007
1100 AM AST FRI SEP 28 2007
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC...
AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL
DEPRESSION FOURTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 26.5 WEST OR ABOUT 210 MILES...340 KM...SOUTHWEST OF THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. THIS
GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE TODAY WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE
NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...14.1 N...26.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
