Tropical Storm Karen

Public Advisory 19

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656
WTNT34 KNHC 291437
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MELISSA ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142007
1100 AM AST SAT SEP 29 2007

...MELISSA IS NOT EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN FURTHER...

AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MELISSA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 28.4 WEST OR ABOUT 300
MILES...480 KM...WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

MELISSA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...15.2 N...28.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




749
WTNT32 KNHC 291439
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAREN ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007
1100 AM AST SAT SEP 29 2007

...KAREN NOT LIKELY TO SURVIVE THE HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT...

AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAREN WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.8 WEST OR ABOUT
530 MILES...850 KM...EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR.
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY.

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT KAREN HAS WEAKENED AND MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. KAREN COULD DEGENERATE INTO
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LATER TODAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...16.8 N...53.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA