Hurricane Lorenzo
Public Advisory 14
461
WTNT33 KNHC 282021
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LORENZO ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132007
400 PM CDT FRI SEP 28 2007
...LORENZO DISSIPATING OVER EASTERN MEXICO...
AT 400 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION LORENZO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.0 WEST OR ABOUT
105 MILES...170 KM...WEST OF TUXPAN MEXICO.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15
KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION
LATER TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HACE DECREASED TO NEAR 25 MPH...35
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LORENZO IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE
TONIGHT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
LORENZO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 7 INCHES OVER EAST CENTRAL MEXICO. ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM
TOTALS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
REPEATING THE 400 PM CDT POSITION...20.8 N...99.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
523
WTNT34 KNHC 282023
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142007
500 PM AST FRI SEP 28 2007
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN
ORGANIZATION...
AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 27.0 WEST OR ABOUT
245 MILES...390 KM...SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5 MPH...8 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST IS ANTICIPATED.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION HAS A CHANCE TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON
SATURDAY.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...14.0 N...27.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
533
WTNT32 KNHC 282031
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KAREN ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007
500 PM AST FRI SEP 28 2007
...KAREN BARELY A TROPICAL STORM...
AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.9 WEST OR ABOUT 780
MILES...1250 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.
KAREN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS DUE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...16.4 N...49.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA
