Hurricane Lorenzo

Public Advisory 5

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696
WTNT33 KNHC 262032
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132007
400 PM CDT WED SEP 26 2007

...DEPRESSION HAS NOT STRENGTHENED YET...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE
GULF COAST OF MEXICO LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 400 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.5 WEST OR ABOUT
225 MILES...365 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TAMPICO MEXICO AND ABOUT 190
MILES...305 KM...EAST OF TUXPAN MEXICO.

THE DEPRESSION HAS BEEN MEANDERING...AND IS NEARLY STATIONARY. A
SLOW AND ERRATIC MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER
TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 400 PM CDT POSITION...21.3 N...94.5 W. MOVEMENT...
STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE...1009 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1000 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




628
WTNT32 KNHC 262048
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KAREN ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007
500 PM AST WED SEP 26 2007

...KAREN REMAINS BELOW HURRICANE INTENSITY OVER THE CENTRAL NORTH
ATLANTIC...

AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.6 WEST OR ABOUT 1175
MILES...1890 KM...EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.

KAREN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS THOUGH A SMALL INCREASE WOULD BRING KAREN TO HURRICANE
INTENSITY. A NOAA HURRICANE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WILL BE
INVESTIGATING THE TROPICAL STORM LATER THIS EVENING.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...12.4 N...43.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/PASCH