Hurricane Lorenzo
Public Advisory 8
437
WTNT32 KNHC 271434
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KAREN ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007
1100 AM AST THU SEP 27 2007
...KAREN DISORGANIZED BUT MAINTAINING TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...
AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.3 WEST OR ABOUT 920
MILES...1485 KM...EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.
KAREN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
DATA FROM THE STEPPED FREQUENCY MICROWAVE RADIOMETER...SFMR...
INSTRUMENT ON BOARD A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE INDICATE THAT
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KAREN IS CURRENTLY IN AN AREA OF UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS...AND SOME FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 195 MILES...315 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE FROM THE NOAA HURRICANE
HUNTER PLANE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...13.7 N...47.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA
935
WTNT33 KNHC 271437
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132007
1000 AM CDT THU SEP 27 2007
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING LITTLE...EXPECTED TO BECOME A STORM
BEFORE REACHING THE COAST OF MEXICO...
AT 10 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM PALMA SOLA
TO CABO ROJO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF COAST OF
MEXICO FROM NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO LA CRUZ. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.2 WEST OR ABOUT
200 MILES...325 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TAMPICO MEXICO AND ABOUT 145
MILES...230 KM...EAST OF TUXPAN MEXICO.
THE DEPRESSION HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY. A WESTWARD OR
WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD DRIFT IS EXPECTED TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER
TODAY.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF
VERACRUZ...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 1000 AM CDT POSITION...20.7 N...95.2 W. MOVEMENT...
STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE...1008 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 100 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400
PM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
