Tropical Storm Arthur

Public Advisory 3

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207
WTNT31 KNHC 010252
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012008
1000 PM CDT SAT MAY 31 2008

...CENTER OF ARTHUR CROSSING THE SOUTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA...
...WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE
AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CABO CATOCHE
MEXICO SOUTHWARD TO THE BORDER WITH BELIZE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1000 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR WAS
CENTERED INLAND OVER THE SOUTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA NEAR LATITUDE
18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.5 WEST OR ABOUT 80 MILES...125 KM...WEST
OF CHETUMAL MEXICO AND ABOUT 120 MILES...195 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
OF CAMPECHE MEXICO.

ARTHUR IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ARTHUR WILL CROSS THE SOUTHERN
YUCATAN PENINSULA OVERNIGHT AND WILL BE NEAR THE SOUTHERN BAY OF
CAMPECHE COAST OF MEXICO ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...MAINLY EAST OF THE CENTER OVER PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. ARTHUR IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A
DEPRESSION TONIGHT OR TOMORROW MORNING...BUT IT COULD LATER REGAIN
TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH ON SUNDAY OR MONDAY IF IT EMERGES OVER THE
BAY OF CAMPECHE.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM
TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWESTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

ARTHUR IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO
WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.

REPEATING THE 1000 PM CDT POSITION...18.4 N...89.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 100 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400
AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB