Hurricane Gustav
Public Advisory 12
000
WTNT32 KNHC 280249
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
1100 PM EDT WED AUG 27 2008
...GUSTAV NOW MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD...
AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR HAITI NORTH
OF PORT AU PRINCE IS DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI WEST OF
THE BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND PORT AU PRINCE.
A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR
JAMAICA.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF
GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GRANMA.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF LAS
TUNAS AND HOLGUIN AND ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
INTERESTS IN CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUSTAV.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.4 WEST OR ABOUT 205
MILES...325 KM...WEST OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI AND ABOUT 100 MILES...
155 KM...SOUTH OF GUANTANAMO CUBA.
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR.
GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO TURN TO THE WEST TOMORROW AND TO THE
WEST-NORTHWEST ON FRIDAY. THE CENTER OF GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PASS
VERY CLOSE TO JAMAICA TOMORROW.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SLOW RESTRENGTHENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND
GUSTAV COULD REGAIN HURRICANE STRENGTH BY FRIDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.
GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO
12 INCHES OVER HAITI...EASTERN CUBA...JAMAICA...AND THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 25 INCHES
POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING AREA.
REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...18.8 N...75.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
AM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
000
WTNT31 KWNH 280256
TCPAT1
PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 50 FOR REMNANTS OF FAY
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL062008
1100 PM EDT WED AUG 27 2008
...REMNANTS OF FAY MOVING INTO THE MID ATLANTIC STATES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCHES REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA. FLOOD WARNINGS
REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF GEORGIA...FLORIDA...AND ALABAMA.
AT 1100 PM EDT...03Z...THE WEAK SURFACE LOW ASSOCIATED WITH FAY
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.2 WEST...OR
ABOUT 40 MILES SOUTH OF JACKSON KENTUCKY.
THE SURFACE LOW IS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. THE
REMNANTS OF FAY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD AND WEAKEN
TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 10 MPH. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE
IS 1010 MB...29.82 INCHES.
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 800 PM EDT
...ALABAMA...
CLAYHATCHEE 5.9 E 15.27
HIGHLAND HOME 12.74
VALLEY 0.4 NNW 11.87
WETUMPKA 9.9 NNE 10.81
MEADOWBROOK 1.7 NE 10.50
LAKE PURDY 3.6 ENE 10.37
CLIO 0.2 SSW 10.27
CALERA 9.73
TROY 9.57
BIRMINGHAM INTL 7.28
...FLORIDA...
MELBOURNE/WINDOVER FARMS 27.65
CAPE CANAVERAL /USAF FIELD MILL 21/ 22.83
SEBASTIAN /SCRIPPS SPACE COAST/ 22.25
PALM SHORES 1.4 W 21.44
PALM BAY 1.0 NE 21.00
VIERA 20.75
HILLIARD 5.4 NW 19.70
MELBOURNE WFO 19.62
CAPE CANAVERAL/COCOA BEACH 19.01
SANFORD 2 ESE 18.27
ST MARKS 4 ESE 17.67
JACKSONVILLE/INTL APT 12.07
MONTICELLO 3.6 WSW 11.90
VERO BEACH/MUNI APT 11.34
WACISSA 1.1 SW 10.80
DAYTONA BEACH/REGIONAL APT 8.99
GAINESVILLE/REGIONAL APT 8.25
NAPLES/MUNICIPAL APT 7.96
FT LAUDERDALE/HOLLYWOOD 7.12
...GEORGIA...
THOMASVILLE 27.50
NEWTON 11 SW 13.50
COOLIDGE 3.2 SSW 12.03
ELMODEL 11.80
VALDOSTA 9 N 11.67
BLAKELY 10.85
MORGAN 5 NW 10.83
MILFORD 10.73
TIGER 1.7 S 10.00
IRON CITY 6 NE 9.54
ALBANY 1 N 8.68
FORT GAINES 13 ENE 8.48
BLUFFTON 0.2 N 8.35
FORT BENNING/COLUMBUS 6.77
SAVANNAH/HUNTER AAF 4.87
PEACHTREE CITY/ATL WFO 2.56
...KENTUCKY...
SCOTTSVILLE 5.5 NE 1.90
EUBANK 4.7 NE 1.80
LONDON-CORBIN ARPT 1.78
LEXINGTON/BLUE GRASS FLD 1.78
BRONSTON 2.7 WSW 1.75
GREENUP 7 WNW 1.73
ALBANY 1.62
FOUNTAIN RUN 5.7 NW 1.58
BRODHEAD 7.3 SSW 1.57
MONTICELLO 9.1 W 1.57
DIXON 1.14
JACKSON 1.04
TAYLORSVILLE 1.00
...LOUISIANA...
BATON ROUGE/SHERWOOD 4.49
MILLERVILLE 4.38
ZACHARY 4.20
SHENANDOAH 0.8 W 4.02
INNISWOLD 4 E 4.01
WALKER 1.1 N 3.93
DENHAM SPRINGS 3.91
GREENWELL SPRINGS 2 SW 3.79
VIDALIA 3.30
JACKSON 3.26
RESERVE 3.20
NEW ORLEANS/MSY 1.46
...MISSISSIPPI...
ACKERMAN 3 SE 7.87
NOXAPATER 1 N 6.80
DAMASCUS 1 SE 6.27
STATE UNIVERSITY 5.50
STARKVILLE 2.5 ENE 5.47
GHOLSON 8 W 5.12
CRAWFORD 5 W 5.07
TOPTON 4.88
PHILADELPHIA 5 N 4.87
BROOKSVILLE 2 NNE 4.59
TOOMSUBA 5 SE 4.53
PASCAGOULA 4.52
MERIDIAN/KEY FLD 4.45
...NORTH CAROLINA...
BURNSVILLE 9.4 SE 11.18
HARRISBURG 0.8 S 10.84
CONCORD 4.9 SW 10.30
CHARLOTTE 8.51
ASHEVILLE 5.32
CHAPEL HILL 4.77
WILMINGTON 4.53
FAYETTEVILLE 3.26
MONROE 2.94
HICKORY 2.93
RALEIGH/DURHAM 2.12
...OHIO...
HAMILTON APT 2.70
LANCASTER 1.18
...SOUTH CAROLINA...
LAKE WYLIE 2.3 SW 9.00
LOWRYS 3.6 ENE 7.66
SALEM 3.1 WNW 7.56
FORT MILL 3.5 ENE 6.86
CLEVELAND 8 WSW 6.24
BEAUFORT 6.11
MARIETTA 1.8 SW 5.09
MEGGETT 1.8 W 4.97
SALEM 0.1 SE 4.65
WALTERBORO 2 SW 4.33
HARDEEVILLE 13 S 4.25
CHARLESTON/MUNI APT 4.07
FOLLY BEACH 2.5 SW 3.96
WALHALLA 5 NW 3.94
GREENVILLE/SPARTANBURG 3.14
COLUMBIA/METRO ARPT 3.10
...TENNESSEE...
DUNLAP 3.1 NW 8.84
RED BANK 3.4 NNE 7.87
SIGNAL MTN 1.2 WSW 7.75
GRAYSVILLE 0.1 NW 7.43
FAYETTEVILLE 8.8 S 6.08
CARTHAGE 0.1 W 5.30
COLUMBIA 0.9 SE 5.05
EAGLEVILLE 1 SE 4.39
SMYRNA 4.5 SSW 4.24
CHATTANOOGA/LOVELL FLD ASOS 4.41
KNOXVILLE 1.82
...VIRGINIA...
DANVILLE 6.03
ROANOKE/MUNI APT 3.77
WOOLWINE 0.4 SW 3.20
CAVE SPRINGS 2.4 SSW 3.00
HILLSVILLE 8.9 SE 2.46
LYNCHBURG 2.11
...WEST VIRGINIA...
BLUEFIELD 1.43
PARKERSBURG 1.44
HUNTINGTON 1.38
THE REMNANTS OF FAY ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 1 TO 3 INCHES THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING OVER PARTS OF NORTHEASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA...VIRGINIA...EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA...WESTERN
PENNSYLVANIA AND MARYLAND.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF NORTH
CAROLINA.
REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...37.0 NORTH...83.2
WEST...MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...10 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER AT 500 AM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE OR WEATHER.GOV FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION ON FAY.
HEDGE
FORECAST POSITIONS
INITIAL 27/2100Z 37.0N 83.2W...EXTRATROPICAL
12HR VT 28/1200Z 37.8N 82.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
$$
