Tropical Depression Sixteen
Public Advisory 2A
046
WTNT31 KNHC 142351
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162008
800 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2008
...DEPRESSION REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF HONDURAS
FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD TO LIMON. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
AT 800 PM EDT...0000Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM BELIZE CITY SOUTHWARD TO THE GUATEMALA
BORDER.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF LIMON WESTWARD
TO THE GUATEMALA BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 800 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF THE POORLY ORGANIZED
DEPRESSION WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.5
WEST OR ABOUT 165 MILES... 260 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF CABO GRACIAS
A DIOS ON THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9
KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND A
GENERAL WESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO MOVE
VERY NEAR THE NORTHERN COAST OF HONDURAS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. ANY DEVIATION TO THE SOUTH OF THE FORECAST TRACK WOULD BRING
THE CENTER INLAND OVER HONDURAS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AS LONG AS THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION REMAINS OFFSHORE...AND
THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON WEDNESDAY.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.
THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER NORTHEAST NICARAGUA AND NORTHERN HONDURAS WITH MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5
INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS.
REPEATING THE 800 PM EDT POSITION...16.2 N...83.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER RHOME/SCHAUER CLARK
791
WTNT35 KNHC 142352
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OMAR INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152008
800 PM AST TUE OCT 14 2008
...OMAR LIKELY TO BECOME A HURRICANE TONIGHT...
A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR
PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. THIS MEANS THAT TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE ALSO IN EFFECT
FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE ISLANDS OF ANGUILLA...ST.
KITTS...NEVIS...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...ST. MAARTEN/MARTIN...AND ST.
BARTHELEMY.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLAND OF MONTSERRAT.
THIS MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
NEXT 36 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 800 PM AST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OMAR WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.3 WEST OR ABOUT 335
MILES...540 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.
OMAR IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR.
A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST IS FORECAST TO OCCUR LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY
WEDNESDAY...WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...OMAR WOULD MOVE THROUGH THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND
OMAR IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT OR ON
WEDNESDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
...MAINLY TO THE EAST AND SOUTH OF THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.
OMAR IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
OVER PORTIONS OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS EXTREME NORTHWESTERN AND
NORTH-CENTRAL VENEZUELA AND THE NORTHERN GUAJIRA PENINSULA. TOTAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 20
INCHES...WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
OMAR IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LARGE SWELLS THAT WILL AFFECT THE WEST-
AND SOUTH-FACING COASTS OF ALL OF THE ISLANDS OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES. THESE SWELLS COULD CAUSE BEACH EROSION AND DAMAGE TO
COASTAL STRUCTURES.
REPEATING THE 800 PM AST POSITION...14.1 N...68.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
