Hurricane Karl
Public Advisory 4
000
WTNT31 KNHC 151437
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGOR ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010
1100 AM AST WED SEP 15 2010
...IGOR WEAKENS A LITTLE FURTHER...STILL A LARGE AND POWERFUL
HURRICANE...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.8N 55.0W
ABOUT 540 MI...870 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
ABOUT 1055 MI...1700 KM SE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH...215 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...942 MB...27.82 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGOR WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.0 WEST. IGOR IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A GENERAL MOTION
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 135 MPH...215
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IGOR IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN
STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT OR TWO...BUT IGOR IS EXPECTED
TO REMAIN A DANGEROUS HURRICANE.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 225
MILES...360 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 942 MB...27.82 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IGOR WILL AFFECT THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS TODAY AND THURSDAY.
THE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS TONIGHT
AND THURSDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. SWELLS ASSOCIATED
WITH IGOR WILL ALSO REACH THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AND CONTINUE OVER THE WEEKEND. THESE SWELLS ARE
LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
000
WTNT33 KNHC 151438
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KARL ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132010
1000 AM CDT WED SEP 15 2010
...KARL MOVING INLAND OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO...
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.6N 88.2W
ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM NE OF CHETUMAL MEXICO
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM ESE OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA NORTH OF PUNTA ALLEN.
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
WEST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CIUDAD DEL CARMEN
NORTHWARD TO CELESTUN.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL AT THE
MEXICO/BELIZE BORDER NORTHWARD TO PUNTA ALLEN
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF NORTHERN BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY TO THE MEXICO/BELIZE
BORDER
* THE WEST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CIUDAD DEL CARMEN
NORTHWARD TO CELESTUN
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KARL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.2 WEST. KARL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT OR
THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF KARL WILL CROSS
THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL YUCATAN PENINSULA THROUGH TONIGHT...AND
THEN EMERGE INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE THURSDAY MORNING.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KARL SHOULD WEAKEN TODAY AS THE CENTER CROSSES THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA. RE-INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY OR FRIDAY
AFTER THE CENTER EMERGES INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF THE
WARNING AREA AND WILL SPREAD INLAND ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
TODAY.
STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE FLOODING...AND THE ACCOMPANYING DAMAGING
WAVES...ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA SHOULD SUBSIDE
TODAY AS THE CENTER OF KARL MOVES FARTHER INLAND.
RAINFALL...KARL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3
TO 5 INCHES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...BELIZE...AND NORTHERN
GUATEMALA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 PM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
000
WTNT32 KNHC 151453
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE JULIA ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122010
ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
1100 AM AST WED SEP 15 2010
...JULIA REMAINS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.2N 32.7W
ABOUT 595 MI...955 KM WNW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH...215 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...25 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...950 MB...28.05 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JULIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 32.7 WEST. JULIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...25 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. JULIA IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. JULIA IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY TODAY BEFORE
SLOWLY WEAKENING LATER ON THURSDAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 950 MB...28.05 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER MUSHER
