Hurricane Richard

Public Advisory 3

---

000
WTNT34 KNHC 211443
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM RICHARD ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192010
1100 AM EDT THU OCT 21 2010

...THE SEVENTEENTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON FORMS...EXPECTED TO
INTENSIFY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.2N 80.4W
ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM SSE OF GRAND CAYMAN
ABOUT 205 MI...330 KM ENE OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SE OR 135 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF RICHARD.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RICHARD WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.4 WEST. RICHARD IS
MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE SOUTH...SOUTHWEST...AND WEST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
48 HOURS AT A SLOW FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AND RICHARD
COULD BECOME A HURRICANE OVER THE WEEKEND.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...
165 KM...MAINLY EAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...RICHARD IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER JAMAICA...WITH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES IN AREAS OF HIGHER TERRAIN. THESE
RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE