Hurricane Tomas

Public Advisory 16



000
WTNT31 KNHC 020232
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010
1100 PM EDT MON NOV 01 2010

...TOMAS MOVING WESTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA...NO
CHANGE IN INTENSITY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.5N 70.8W
ABOUT 365 MI...590 KM SSE OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI
ABOUT 505 MI...815 KM SE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN JAMAICA...HAITI...AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TOMAS.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.8 WEST. TOMAS IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. A WESTWARD MOTION
WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND
NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...BUT SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST ON WEDNESDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
MAINLY NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BERG