Hurricane Tomas

Public Advisory 21

---

000
WTNT31 KNHC 030835
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010
500 AM EDT WED NOV 03 2010

...TOMAS WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION BUT STILL EXPECTED TO
RESTRENGTHEN...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.5N 75.5W
ABOUT 410 MI...660 KM SSW OF PORT-AU-PRINCE HAITI
ABOUT 325 MI...520 KM SSE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JAMAICA

INTERESTS IN HAITI...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA
SHOULD ALSO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TOMAS. TOMAS COULD POSE A
SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO THOSE AREAS LATER IN THE WEEK.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TOMAS
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.5 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR.
A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST...NORTH...AND NORTH-NORTHEAST IS
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE
INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35
MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RESTRENGTHENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS