Tropical Storm Arlene

Public Advisory 9

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000
WTNT31 KNHC 302039
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ARLENE ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012011
400 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2011

...ARLENE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE
NEXT FEW HOURS...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.3N 98.3W
ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM WNW OF TUXPAN MEXICO
ABOUT 65 MI...110 KM SSW OF TAMPICO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO NORTH OF TAMPICO AND SOUTH OF BARRA DE
NAUTLA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TAMPICO MEXICO SOUTHWARD TO BARRA DE NAUTLA MEXICO

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ARLENE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.3 WEST. ARLENE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ARLENE WILL MOVE FARTHER INLAND OVER
MAINLAND MEXICO THIS EVENING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...
65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND
ARLENE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIS EVENING
AND DISSIPATE OVER CENTRAL MEXICO FRIDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
MAINLY OVER WATER TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...ARLENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER EASTERN AND NORTHEASTERN
MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES OVER
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD INLAND
THROUGH PORTIONS OF EASTERN MEXICO THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD SUBSIDE
TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 PM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN