Tropical Storm Emily

Public Advisory 15

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000
WTNT35 KNHC 070243
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILY ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052011
1100 PM EDT SAT AUG 06 2011

...EMILY MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD...
...HEAVY RAINS OCCURRING ON GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.4N 78.2W
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM NNE OF FREEPORT GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.85 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILY
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.2 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH... 13 KM/H. A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
IS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE DEPRESSION WILL
BE MOVING AWAY FROM THE BAHAMAS AND THE U.S. EAST COAST.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND EMILY COULD REGAIN TROPICAL STORM STATUS ON SUNDAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB...29.85 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...EMILY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS THROUGH
SUNDAY. ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH EMILY.

WIND...WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE IN HEAVY
SQUALLS IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS OVERNIGHT.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART