Hurricane Katia
Public Advisory 31
000
WTNT32 KNHC 052037
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KATIA ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
500 PM AST MON SEP 05 2011
...KATIA BECOMES A MAJOR HURRICANE...BIGGEST THREAT CONTINUES TO BE
DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST AND BERMUDA...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.2N 63.9W
ABOUT 495 MI...795 KM S OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KATIA.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATIA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 25.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.9 WEST. KATIA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION
WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KATIA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING
IS FORECAST THROUGH TUESDAY...FOLLOWED BY LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH
ON WEDNESDAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 959 MB...28.32 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY KATIA ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT MOST
OF THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES...BERMUDA...THE GREATER
ANTILLES...AND EAST-FACING BEACHES OF THE BAHAMAS DURING THE NEXT
FEW DAYS. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF
AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. SWELLS AFFECTING THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE TODAY. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS
FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BERG
000
WTNT33 KWNH 052058
TCPAT3
REMNANTS OF LEE ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL132011
400 PM CDT MON SEP 05 2011
...REMNANTS OF LEE EXPECTED TO CAUSE FLOODING FROM THE GULF COAST
STATES TO NEW ENGLAND...
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION.....32N 87.9W
ABOUT 95 MILES...153 KM...N OF MOBILE DOWNTOWN ALABAMA.
ABOUT 130 MILES...209 KM...E OF JACKSON/THOMPSON MISSISSIPPI.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...14 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT
FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND INTO NEW ENGLAND.
FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF LEE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE ..32 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 87.9 WEST. LEE IS NOW
EXTRATROPICAL AFTER MERGING WITH A FRONTAL ZONE WITH COOL AND DRY
AIR INFILTRATING THE CIRCULATION CENTER FROM THE NORTH AND WEST.
THE EXTRATROPICAL LOW CENTER IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARDS THE
NORTHEAST...BRINGING THE CENTER INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA BY MONDAY
NIGHT AND REACHING THE CAROLINAS BY MID DAY TUESDAY. TROPICAL
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF LEE WILL CONTINUE TO
INTERACT WITH THE FRONTAL ZONE...AND EXTREMELY HEAVY RAIN IS
EXPECTED TO FALL IN LOCATIONS WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CIRCULATION
CENTER.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.36 INCHES.
HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...THE REMNANTS OF LEE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
REGION...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES
THROUGH TUESDAY. HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND NORTHEASTWARD
INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS
THROUGH TUESDAY...WHERE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED. ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE IN THIS
REGION. THESE RAINS MAY CAUSE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUDSLIDES.
RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 4 PM CDT
...ALABAMA...
MOBILE 10.2 WSW 11.35
GRAND BAY 0.6 NW 10.39
THEODORE 3.7 WNW 9.78
ORANGE BEACH 3.0 ENE 9.75
FOLEY 2.0 SSW 9.73
ELBERTA 3.1 SSW 9.65
TILLMANS CORNER 4.3 WNW 9.47
MOBILE/BATES FIELD 9.19
CHEROKEE 5 S 8.20
POINT CLEAR 1.6 SSW 7.90
WILMER 7.9 SE 7.51
FAIRHOPE 0.9 N 7.41
...FLORIDA...
MILTON 1.4 NNE 10.03
NICEVILLE 4.5 SE 7.35
PENSACOLA 3.8 N 6.57
WEST PENSACOLA 10.9 SW 6.35
ENSLEY 2.1 ENE 6.10
PACE 2.4 N 6.06
NAVARRE 2.3 NNW 6.02
DESTIN AIRPORT 5.93
GONZALEZ 2.1 E 5.68
APALACHICOLA MUNI ARPT 5.37
EGLIN AFB 5.6 NE 5.33
VALPARAISO/EGLIN AFB 5.30
HURLBURT FIELD AWS 5.30
BELLVIEW 1.7 NW 5.13
...KENTUCKY...
FLATWOODS 0.5 WNW 3.67
WHITESBURG 2 SE 3.38
PLUM SPRINGS 0.8 NNW 3.10
VERSAILLES 5.8 SSW 2.65
LAWRENCEBURG 5.2 S 2.34
BOWLING GREEN 5.9 ESE 2.33
SMITHS GROVE 0.3 SE 2.14
LEXINGTON 1.7 SSE 2.08
GUTHRIE 0.8 WNW 2.00
...LOUISIANA...
HOLDEN 15.43
N.O. CAROLLTON 14.32
MAUREPAS 13.63
PONCHATOULA 4 SE 13.22
CONVENT 2 S 13.04
RESERVE 0.5 SSE 12.43
GRAY 0.5 ENE 12.15
MARRERO 1.9 E 11.21
MONTICELLO 3.0 ENE 10.91
NEW ORLEANS/MOISANT 10.80
PONCHATOULA 11.8 E 10.59
MERAUX 0.8 WNW 10.10
ABITA SPRINGS 2.2 SSW 9.93
LACOMBE 1.4 N 9.79
TERRYTOWN 3.3 S 9.10
ZACHARY 3.5 WNW 9.04
BATON ROUGE 3.5 E 9.00
SLIDELL 2.2 NE 8.20
...MISSISSIPPI...
FLORENCE 0.9 E 13.45
WAVELAND 1.1 NW 13.20
SAUCIER 6.4 ESE 11.75
GULFPORT 2.0 NE 11.71
LONG BEACH 0.7 S 11.59
PASS CHRISTIAN 5.0 N 11.31
RICHLAND 0.3 WSW 11.25
PHILADELPHIA 5.4 E 11.18
PEARL 3.4 ESE 11.14
JACKSON WFO 11.13
KILN 6.6 N 10.90
GULFPORT-BILOXI 10.78
...TENNESSEE...
OAK RIDGE 6.9 NNE 5.09
CUMBERLAND CITY 1.2 ESE 5.09
LAWRENCEBURG 8.8 SE 4.95
CLARKSVILLE 14.4 WSW 4.87
LORETTO 2.8 NNW 4.50
ALEXANDRIA 0.5 SW 4.48
COOKEVILLE 4.6 WNW 4.23
CHRISTIANA 6.5 E 4.22
LEBANON 4.0 SE 4.21
JAMESTOWN 6.7 W 4.07
...TEXAS...
BRIDGE CITY 1.3 NW 3.12
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR 3.04
JASPER 6.7 W 2.12
...VIRGINIA...
WINCHESTER 9.4 NW 1.00
...WEST VIRGINIA...
BOOTHSVILLE 1.4 SE 2.87
ROCKPORT 1.3 SSE 2.22
POINT PLEASANT 5.8 E 2.00
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 1000 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.
FORECASTER GARRETT
FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 05/2100Z ..32N 87.9W
12HR VT 06/0600Z 33.4N 85.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24HR VT 06/1800Z 34.9N 83.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36HR VT 07/0600Z 37.7N 83.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48HR VT 07/1800Z 38.9N 83.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
A$$
000
WTNT33 KWNH 052058
TCPAT3
REMNANTS OF LEE ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL132011
400 PM CDT MON SEP 05 2011
...REMNANTS OF LEE EXPECTED TO CAUSE FLOODING FROM THE GULF COAST
STATES TO NEW ENGLAND...
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION.....32N 87.9W
ABOUT 95 MILES...153 KM...N OF MOBILE DOWNTOWN ALABAMA.
ABOUT 130 MILES...209 KM...E OF JACKSON/THOMPSON MISSISSIPPI.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...14 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT
FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND INTO NEW ENGLAND.
FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF LEE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE ..32 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 87.9 WEST. LEE IS NOW
EXTRATROPICAL AFTER MERGING WITH A FRONTAL ZONE WITH COOL AND DRY
AIR INFILTRATING THE CIRCULATION CENTER FROM THE NORTH AND WEST.
THE EXTRATROPICAL LOW CENTER IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARDS THE
NORTHEAST...BRINGING THE CENTER INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA BY MONDAY
NIGHT AND REACHING THE CAROLINAS BY MID DAY TUESDAY. TROPICAL
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF LEE WILL CONTINUE TO
INTERACT WITH THE FRONTAL ZONE...AND EXTREMELY HEAVY RAIN IS
EXPECTED TO FALL IN LOCATIONS WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CIRCULATION
CENTER.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.36 INCHES.
HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...THE REMNANTS OF LEE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
REGION...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES
THROUGH TUESDAY. HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND NORTHEASTWARD
INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS
THROUGH TUESDAY...WHERE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED. ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE IN THIS
REGION. THESE RAINS MAY CAUSE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUDSLIDES.
RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 4 PM CDT
...ALABAMA...
MOBILE 10.2 WSW 11.35
GRAND BAY 0.6 NW 10.39
THEODORE 3.7 WNW 9.78
ORANGE BEACH 3.0 ENE 9.75
FOLEY 2.0 SSW 9.73
ELBERTA 3.1 SSW 9.65
TILLMANS CORNER 4.3 WNW 9.47
MOBILE/BATES FIELD 9.19
CHEROKEE 5 S 8.20
POINT CLEAR 1.6 SSW 7.90
WILMER 7.9 SE 7.51
FAIRHOPE 0.9 N 7.41
...FLORIDA...
MILTON 1.4 NNE 10.03
NICEVILLE 4.5 SE 7.35
PENSACOLA 3.8 N 6.57
WEST PENSACOLA 10.9 SW 6.35
ENSLEY 2.1 ENE 6.10
PACE 2.4 N 6.06
NAVARRE 2.3 NNW 6.02
DESTIN AIRPORT 5.93
GONZALEZ 2.1 E 5.68
APALACHICOLA MUNI ARPT 5.37
EGLIN AFB 5.6 NE 5.33
VALPARAISO/EGLIN AFB 5.30
HURLBURT FIELD AWS 5.30
BELLVIEW 1.7 NW 5.13
...KENTUCKY...
FLATWOODS 0.5 WNW 3.67
WHITESBURG 2 SE 3.38
PLUM SPRINGS 0.8 NNW 3.10
VERSAILLES 5.8 SSW 2.65
LAWRENCEBURG 5.2 S 2.34
BOWLING GREEN 5.9 ESE 2.33
SMITHS GROVE 0.3 SE 2.14
LEXINGTON 1.7 SSE 2.08
GUTHRIE 0.8 WNW 2.00
...LOUISIANA...
HOLDEN 15.43
N.O. CAROLLTON 14.32
MAUREPAS 13.63
PONCHATOULA 4 SE 13.22
CONVENT 2 S 13.04
RESERVE 0.5 SSE 12.43
GRAY 0.5 ENE 12.15
MARRERO 1.9 E 11.21
MONTICELLO 3.0 ENE 10.91
NEW ORLEANS/MOISANT 10.80
PONCHATOULA 11.8 E 10.59
MERAUX 0.8 WNW 10.10
ABITA SPRINGS 2.2 SSW 9.93
LACOMBE 1.4 N 9.79
TERRYTOWN 3.3 S 9.10
ZACHARY 3.5 WNW 9.04
BATON ROUGE 3.5 E 9.00
SLIDELL 2.2 NE 8.20
...MISSISSIPPI...
FLORENCE 0.9 E 13.45
WAVELAND 1.1 NW 13.20
SAUCIER 6.4 ESE 11.75
GULFPORT 2.0 NE 11.71
LONG BEACH 0.7 S 11.59
PASS CHRISTIAN 5.0 N 11.31
RICHLAND 0.3 WSW 11.25
PHILADELPHIA 5.4 E 11.18
PEARL 3.4 ESE 11.14
JACKSON WFO 11.13
KILN 6.6 N 10.90
GULFPORT-BILOXI 10.78
...TENNESSEE...
OAK RIDGE 6.9 NNE 5.09
CUMBERLAND CITY 1.2 ESE 5.09
LAWRENCEBURG 8.8 SE 4.95
CLARKSVILLE 14.4 WSW 4.87
LORETTO 2.8 NNW 4.50
ALEXANDRIA 0.5 SW 4.48
COOKEVILLE 4.6 WNW 4.23
CHRISTIANA 6.5 E 4.22
LEBANON 4.0 SE 4.21
JAMESTOWN 6.7 W 4.07
...TEXAS...
BRIDGE CITY 1.3 NW 3.12
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR 3.04
JASPER 6.7 W 2.12
...VIRGINIA...
WINCHESTER 9.4 NW 1.00
...WEST VIRGINIA...
BOOTHSVILLE 1.4 SE 2.87
ROCKPORT 1.3 SSE 2.22
POINT PLEASANT 5.8 E 2.00
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 1000 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.
FORECASTER GARRETT
FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 05/2100Z ..32N 87.9W
12HR VT 06/0600Z 33.4N 85.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24HR VT 06/1800Z 34.9N 83.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36HR VT 07/0600Z 37.7N 83.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48HR VT 07/1800Z 38.9N 83.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
A$$
