Hurricane Maria
Public Advisory 12
826
WTNT35 KNHC 091433
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011
1000 AM CDT FRI SEP 09 2011
...NATE MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD...HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FROM
TAMPICO TO VERACRUZ...
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.3N 92.6W
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM WNW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
ABOUT 315 MI...505 KM E OF TUXPAN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM TAMPICO
TO VERACRUZ.
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM
TAMPICO TO LA CRUZ AND FROM VERACRUZ TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO VERACRUZ
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM CELESTUN TO PROGRESO
* MEXICO FROM VERACRUZ TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO
* MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO LA CRUZ
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.6 WEST. NATE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST AND THEN TOWARD THE WEST WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF NATE WILL APPROACH THE COAST OF
MEXICO IN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA ON SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
AND NATE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY SATURDAY.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ALONG THE
COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING AREA FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN
TODAY. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE HURRICANE WATCH
AREA BY LATE SUNDAY...WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE BY
EARLY SUNDAY.
RAINFALL...NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER THE
MEXICAN STATES OF CAMPECHE AND TABASCO.
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS
1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN
THE WARNING AREA.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 PM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
416
WTNT32 KNHC 091434
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KATIA ADVISORY NUMBER 46
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
1100 AM AST FRI SEP 09 2011
...KATIA MOVING OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC MIDWAY BETWEEN BERMUDA
AND NOVA SCOTIA...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...39.3N 65.8W
ABOUT 485 MI...785 KM N OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 385 MI...615 KM SSW OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 29 MPH...46 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB...28.59 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.8 WEST. KATIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 29 MPH...46 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION ACCOMPANIED BY AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KATIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. ONLY SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
AND KATIA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ON
SATURDAY.
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 255
MILES...410 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 968 MB...28.59 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY KATIA WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT MOST
OF THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES AND BERMUDA. THESE SWELLS ARE
LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
496
WTNT34 KNHC 091446
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
1100 AM AST FRI SEP 09 2011
...MARIA EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH THE LESSER ANTILLES TONIGHT...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.2N 57.5W
ABOUT 350 MI...560 KM SE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND
CULEBRA...HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS REPLACED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
DOMINICA WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* ST. MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...SAINT
KITTS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* DOMINICA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ST BARTHELEMY...ST MARTEEN...AND MARTINIQUE
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES...THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.5 WEST. MARIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA WILL REACH THE LESSER
ANTILLES EARLY TONIGHT...AND BE NEAR THE VIRGIN ISLANDS BY
SATURDAY NIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280
KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE LESSER
ANTILLES BY LATE TODAY...THEN SPREAD NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO ON SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.
RAINFALL...MARIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES OVER THE
CENTRAL TO NORTHERN LESSER ANTILLES...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND
PUERTO RICO.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
