Hurricane Maria
Public Advisory 16
312
WTNT35 KNHC 101431
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011
1000 AM CDT SAT SEP 10 2011
...NATE MOVING WESTWARD TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO...
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.0N 94.2W
ABOUT 140 MI...230 KM ENE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO
ABOUT 220 MI...350 KM ESE OF TUXPAN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH
FROM NORTH OF TAMPICO TO LA CRUZ.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO VERACRUZ
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.2 WEST. NATE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF NATE WILL REACH THE COAST OF MEXICO
IN THE WARNING AREA ON SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
SO...AND NATE COULD BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT APPROACHES
THE COAST OF MEXICO ON SUNDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA BY TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA BY MIDDAY SUNDAY.
RAINFALL...NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4
TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER THE
MEXICAN STATES OF VERACRUZ AND TABASCO.
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1
TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR
AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. NEAR THE
COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 PM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
282
WTNT32 KNHC 101454
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE KATIA ADVISORY NUMBER 50
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
1100 AM AST SAT SEP 10 2011
...KATIA LOSES TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS OVER THE FAR NORTH
ATLANTIC...EXPECTED TO BRING STRONG WINDS TO THE BRITISH
ISLES AS A POWERFUL POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ON MONDAY...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...44.7N 47.7W
ABOUT 295 MI...475 KM ESE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
ABOUT 1960 MI...3160 KM WSW OF GLASGOW SCOTLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 53 MPH...85 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...954 MB...28.17 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
KATIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 44.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.7 WEST.
KATIA IS RACING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 53 MPH...85 KM/H...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO PASS
OVER OR NEAR THE NORTHERN BRITISH ISLES ON MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KATIA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A STRONG EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE
OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 310
MILES...500 KM.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON RECENT REPORTS FROM
CANADIAN BUOY 44140 NEAR THE CENTER OF KATIA IS 954 MB...28.17
INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...GALE- TO STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT MUCH OF
THE BRITISH ISLES ON MONDAY...AND COULD CAUSE DAMAGE TO TREES AND
DISRUPT TRANSPORTATION AND OTHER PUBLIC SERVICES. INTERESTS IN
AND AROUND THE BRITISH ISLES AND NORTHERN EUROPE SHOULD MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE UK MET OFFICE AT
WWW.METOFFICE.GOV.UK/WEATHER/.
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY KATIA WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT U.S.
NEW ENGLAND AREAS...ATLANTIC CANADA...AND BERMUDA TODAY....AND
SPREAD EASTWARD INTO THE BRITISH ISLES SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THESE
SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
RAINFALL...TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 50 TO 100 MILLIMETERS...
2 TO 4 INCHES...ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WESTERN MOUNTAINS OF SCOTLAND
THROUGH MONDAY.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON KATIA. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND
IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...
UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
049
WTNT34 KNHC 101457
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
1100 AM AST SAT SEP 10 2011
...MARIA BARELY A TROPICAL CYCLONE...WARNINGS DISCONTINUED...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.3N 61.5W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM NE OF ANTIGUA
ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM ESE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
NONE
INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF MARIA.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE CIRCULATION OF
MARIA IS BECOMING POORLY DEFINED. AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE
CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3
NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.5 WEST. MARIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST
NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...IN A FEW SQUALLS WELL TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
WEAKENING IS FORECAST AND MARIA COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
OR DEGENERATE TO A TROPICAL WAVE LATER TODAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE OCCURRING OUTWARD UP TO 200
MILES...325 KM...OVER WATER TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...MARIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
2 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES OVER THE
LESSER ANTILLES...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
