Hurricane Philippe
Public Advisory 31
990
WTNT32 KNHC 012031
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011
500 PM AST SAT OCT 01 2011
...PHILIPPE STRONGER THAN PREVIOUSLY ESTIMATED...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.2N 49.1W
ABOUT 1070 MI...1720 KM ESE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.1 WEST. PHILIPPE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A WESTWARD MOTION
ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
SATELLITE DATA INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65
MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS PHILIPPE IS IMPACTED BY STRONG
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BERG
981
WTNT31 KNHC 012033
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011
500 PM AST SAT OCT 01 2011
...EYE OF HURRICANE OPHELIA EXPECTED TO PASS EAST OF BERMUDA IN THE
NEXT FEW HOURS...HEAVY SQUALLS APPROACHING...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.6N 62.6W
ABOUT 140 MI...220 KM ESE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 26 MPH...43 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.11 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
ENVIRONMENT CANADA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
ENTIRE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
* THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE DISTINCT EYE OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.6 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 26 MPH...43 KM/H. ON THIS TRACK THE
CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL PASS EAST OF BERMUDA DURING THE SEVERAL
HOURS. A TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST SHOULD BEGIN ON SUNDAY WITH AN
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. OPHELIA IS FORECAST TO BE NEAR THE
AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND ON MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY
TONIGHT...BUT GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN ON SUNDAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA THIS
EVENING AS SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW HEAVY SQUALLS APPROACHING THE
ISLAND. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE AVALON
PENINSULA EARLY MONDAY.
SURF...LARGE SWELLS CREATED BY OPHELIA WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS SURF
CONDITIONS ALONG THE SOUTH-FACING BEACHES OF BERMUDA.
RAINFALL...RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 1 INCH CAN BE EXPECTED
ON BERMUDA IN ASSOCIATION WITH OPHELIA.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
