Hurricane Philippe

Public Advisory 38



896
WTNT31 KNHC 031444
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 44
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011
1100 AM AST MON OCT 03 2011

...OPHELIA BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE...THIS IS THE LAST
ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...48.1N 52.0W
ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM NNE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 37 MPH...59 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

ENVIRONMENT CANADA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
AVALON PENINSULA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

NONE


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 48.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.0 WEST.
THE CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 37 MPH...
59 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION
IN A DAY OR SO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS...AND
THE CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO BE ABSORBED BY A COLD FRONT ON TUESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290 MILES...
465 KM...PRIMARILY EAST THROUGH SOUTH OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON OPHELIA. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN



131
WTNT32 KNHC 031454
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE ADVISORY NUMBER 38
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011
1100 AM AST MON OCT 03 2011

...PHILIPPE STILL ON AN INTENSITY ROLLER COASTER...MAXIMUM WINDS NOW
65 MPH...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.8N 55.8W
ABOUT 750 MI...1210 KM SE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 250 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
SATELLITE DATA INDICATE THAT THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE
HAS RE-FORMED FARTHER SOUTH.

AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.8 WEST. PHILIPPE
IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H. A
WESTWARD TO WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY
TUESDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH A
DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BERG/BROWN