Hurricane Ernesto
Public Advisory 34
545
WTNT32 KNHC 092035
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072012
500 PM AST THU AUG 09 2012
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.7N 43.8W
ABOUT 1155 MI...1860 KM E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...32 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.8 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/H. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON FRIDAY.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
612
WTNT35 KNHC 092035
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052012
400 PM CDT THU AUG 09 2012
...ERNESTO MADE LANDFALL AROUND 100 PM CDT NEAR THE CITY OF
COATZACOALCOS MEXICO WITH 60 MPH WINDS...
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.1N 95.2W
ABOUT 55 MI...85 KM W OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM SE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.32 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* VERACRUZ TO CHILITEPEC MEXICO
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR ...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AFTER MAKING LANDFALL NEAR COATZACOALCOS AT 1800 UTC...1 PM
CDT...ERNESTO HAS CONTINUED MOVING INLAND...AND AT 400 PM
CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1
NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.2 WEST. ERNESTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR
10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE
NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...ERNESTO WILL BE MOVING
OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE STRONG WINDS ARE PRIMARILY
OCCURRING OVER WATER TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. WEAKENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND ERNESTO IS EXPECTED TO
DISSIPATE OVER THE HIGH MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO IN DAY OR TWO.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD WESTWARD
ACROSS THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA AND NEAR THE CENTER OF
ERNESTO THIS EVENING. THESE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BEGIN TO SUBSIDE
LATER TONIGHT.
RAINFALL...ERNESTO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN STATES OF
VERACRUZ...TABASCO...PUEBLA...AND OAXACA THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.
ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ASSOCIATED WITH
ERNESTO ARE POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER AREAS OF HIGHER TERRAIN.
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
IS POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE WARNING AREA. NEAR THE
COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.
THESE CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO SUBSIDE LATER TONIGHT.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 PM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
