Hurricane Ernesto
Public Advisory 34A
163
WTNT35 KNHC 092347
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 34A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052012
700 PM CDT THU AUG 09 2012
...ERNESTO PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS ACROSS SOUTHERN MEXICO AS IT MOVES
INLAND...
SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.2N 95.8W
ABOUT 90 MI...150 KM W OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO
ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM SSE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 11 MPH...18 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* VERACRUZ TO CHILITEPEC MEXICO
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.8 WEST. ERNESTO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 11 MPH...18 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...ERNESTO WILL CONTINUE MOVING INLAND OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO
TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE STRONG WINDS ARE PRIMARILY OCCURRING OVER
WATER TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND ERNESTO IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER THE
HIGH TERRAIN OF SOUTHERN MEXICO IN DAY OR TWO.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES...195 KM
MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE IN THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING AREA AND NEAR THE CENTER OF ERNESTO THIS EVENING. THESE
WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BEGIN TO SUBSIDE LATER TONIGHT.
RAINFALL...ERNESTO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN STATES OF
VERACRUZ...TABASCO...PUEBLA...AND OAXACA THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.
ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ASSOCIATED WITH
ERNESTO ARE POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER AREAS OF HIGHER TERRAIN.
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
IS POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE WARNING AREA. NEAR THE
COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.
THESE CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO SUBSIDE LATER TONIGHT.
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
