Tropical Storm Helene

Public Advisory 2



219
WTNT32 KNHC 100236
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072012
1100 PM AST THU AUG 09 2012

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION CONTINUES MOVING RAPIDLY WESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.7N 45.5W
ABOUT 1045 MI...1680 KM E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...32 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES COULD BE REQUIRED ON FRIDAY
MORNING.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.5 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/H AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON FRIDAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE



825
WTNT35 KNHC 100240
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO ADVISORY NUMBER 35
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052012
1000 PM CDT THU AUG 09 2012

...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE OVER MUCH OF SOUTHERN MEXICO AS ERNESTO
WEAKENS...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.1N 96.7W
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM SSW OF VERACRUZ MEXICO
ABOUT 80 MI...125 KM N OF OAXACA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.7 WEST. ERNESTO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND FRIDAY UNTIL THE CYCLONE
DISSIPATES.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND ERNESTO
IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE ON FRIDAY AS THE CYCLONE CONTINUES TO MOVE
INLAND OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN OF SOUTHERN MEXICO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55
KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE IN A SMALL AREA NEAR
CENTER OF ERNESTO OVERNIGHT. THESE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE BY
EARLY FRIDAY.

RAINFALL...ERNESTO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN STATES OF
VERACRUZ...TABASCO...PUEBLA...AND OAXACA THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.
ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN
ASSOCIATION WITH ERNESTO. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 AM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN