Hurricane Isaac
Public Advisory 33
453
WTNT31 KNHC 290830
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KIRK ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112012
500 AM AST WED AUG 29 2012
...KIRK OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...NO THREAT TO LAND...
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.3N 45.3W
ABOUT 1220 MI...1965 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
ABOUT 1435 MI...2305 KM SW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KIRK WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.3 WEST. KIRK IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. A TURN TO THE
NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
550
WTNT34 KNHC 290857
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ISAAC ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
400 AM CDT WED AUG 29 2012
...ISAAC BEGINNING TO MOVE INLAND IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...DANGEROUS
STORM SURGE AND FLOOD THREAT FROM HEAVY RAINS LIKELY TO CONTINUE
THROUGH TODAY AND TONIGHT...
SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.2N 90.5W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM SSE OF HOUMA LOUISIANA
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM SSW OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...969 MB...28.61 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...
INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE
MAUREPAS
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* INTRACOASTAL CITY TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER TO DESTIN FLORIDA
* MORGAN CITY TO SABINE PASS TEXAS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO JUST WEST OF SABINE PASS
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISAAC WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.5 WEST. ISAAC IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. A GENERAL
NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY
AND TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST BY
THURSDAY NIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER
OF ISAAC WILL MOVE OVER LOUISIANA TODAY AND TOMORROW AND OVER
SOUTHERN ARKANSAS EARLY FRIDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ISAAC IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS ISAAC MOVES OVER
LAND DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM. A SUSTAINED WIND OF 51 MPH WITH A GUST TO 66 MPH
WAS REPORTED WITHIN THE PAST HOUR AT LAKEFRONT AIRPORT IN NEW
ORLEANS. A SUSTAINED WIND OF 51 MPH WITH A GUST TO 70 MPH WAS
REPORTED WITHIN THE PAST HOUR AT BOOTHVILLE LOUISIANA.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 969 MB...28.61 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL
CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING
WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF
THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...
* MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...6 TO 12 FT
* ALABAMA...3 TO 6 FT
* SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA...3 TO 6 FT
* FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND APALACHEE BAY...2 TO 4 FT
THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN AREAS OF
ONSHORE WINDS. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE
TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER
SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE
SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. NEAR THE
COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE WARNING
AREA THIS MORNING...AND HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
ONSHORE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA.
WINDS AFFECTING THE UPPER FLOORS OF HIGH-RISE BUILDINGS WILL BE
SIGNIFICANTLY STRONGER THAN THOSE NEAR GROUND LEVEL. AT ABOUT THE
30TH STORY...WINDS WOULD LIKELY BE ONE SAFFIR-SIMPSON CATEGORY
STRONGER THAN AT THE SURFACE.
RAINFALL...ISAAC IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 7
TO 14 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20
INCHES...OVER MUCH OF LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...AND
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. THESE RAINS COULD
RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT LOWLAND FLOODING. RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE NORTHWARD INTO ARKANSAS ON THURSDAY WITH AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6
INCHES EXPECTED OVER SOUTHERN ARKANSAS BY FRIDAY MORNING.
TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE CENTRAL GULF
COAST REGION AND PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
SURF...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO
AFFECT THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA AND THE NORTHERN GULF COAST FOR THE
NEXT DAY OR SO.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES...600 AM CDT AND 800 AM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS
