Hurricane Kirk

Public Advisory 10



018
WTNT32 KNHC 310240
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LESLIE ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
1100 PM EDT THU AUG 30 2012

...LESLIE CONTINUING TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE OPEN TROPICAL
ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.7N 46.8W
ABOUT 1010 MI...1625 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.8 WEST. LESLIE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH. A MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-
NORTHWEST WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...LESLIE IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND LESLIE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY FRIDAY
NIGHT.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
NOAA BUOY 41041 RECENTLY REPORTED A PRESSURE OF 1004.1 MB...29.65
INCHES...AS THE CENTER PASSED TO THE NORTH.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN



676
WTNT31 KNHC 310246
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE KIRK ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112012
1100 PM AST THU AUG 30 2012

...KIRK STRENGTHENS SOME MORE...ON THE VERGE OF TURNING NORTHWARD...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.0N 50.7W
ABOUT 870 MI...1395 KM ESE OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 1495 MI...2405 KM WSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...160 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KIRK WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.7 WEST. KIRK IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS
EXPECTED ON FRIDAY...FOLLOWED BY AN ACCELERATION TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST AND THEN NORTHEAST ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KIRK IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING
IS FORECAST ON FRIDAY...AND KIRK COULD NEAR MAJOR HURRICANE
STRENGTH. WEAKENING IS FORECAST TO BEGIN BY LATE SATURDAY.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70
MILES...110 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN