Hurricane Kirk

Public Advisory 18



915
WTNT31 KNHC 020255
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KIRK ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112012
1100 PM AST SAT SEP 01 2012

...KIRK WEAKENING...EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
SOON...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...41.2N 41.8W
ABOUT 675 MI...1090 KM ESE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
ABOUT 815 MI...1315 KM WNW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 29 MPH...46 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KIRK WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 41.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 41.8 WEST. KIRK IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 29 MPH...46 KM/H. THIS HEADING WITH
AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND
KIRK IS EXPECTED TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL ON SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI



324
WTNT32 KNHC 020255
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LESLIE ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
1100 PM AST SAT SEP 01 2012

...LESLIE TURNS NORTHWESTWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.2N 58.4W
ABOUT 310 MI...495 KM NE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.4 WEST. LESLIE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/H. A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AND NORTH...ALONG WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED...IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF LESLIE SHOULD MOVE AWAY FROM THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LESLIE IS CURRENTLY IN AN AREA OF UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS...AND SOME WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM
FROM THE CENTER. NOAA BUOY 41044...LOCATED NORTHWEST OF THE
CENTER...RECENTLY REPORTED 1-MINUTE MEAN WINDS OF 45 MPH...
72 KM/HR...AND A WIND GUST OF 54 MPH...86 KM/HR.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY LESLIE COULD AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS THROUGH THE WEEKEND...AND BEGIN TO AFFECT PUERTO
RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS ON SUNDAY. THESE SWELLS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN