Hurricane Michael

Public Advisory 10



448
WTNT33 KNHC 052033
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012
500 PM AST WED SEP 05 2012

...MICHAEL STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.8N 42.7W
ABOUT 1105 MI...1775 KM WSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 42.7 WEST. MICHAEL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS ANTICIPATED ON FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND MICHAEL COULD BECOME A
HURRICANE TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS



793
WTNT32 KNHC 052054
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE LESLIE ADVISORY NUMBER 26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
500 PM AST WED SEP 05 2012

...HURRICANE LESLIE DRIFTING ERRATICALLY NORTHWARD...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.9N 62.7W
ABOUT 460 MI...740 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LESLIE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.7 WEST. LESLIE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/H. A SLOW NORTHWARD TO
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION...WHICH MAY BE ERRATIC AT TIMES...IS
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LESLIE IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND LESLIE COULD BECOME A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE BY FRIDAY.

HURRICANE-FORCE-WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
230 MILES...370 KM. NOAA BUOY 41049...LOCATED ABOUT 120 MILES
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF THE CENTER OF LESLIE...HAS RECENTLY REPORTED
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 MPH...72 KM/H...AND A GUST TO 51 MPH...82
KM/H.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY LESLIE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT BERMUDA...
THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM CENTRAL FLORIDA NORTHWARD...THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. THESE SWELLS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND
RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART