Hurricane Michael

Public Advisory 26



558
WTNT32 KNHC 091432
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LESLIE ADVISORY NUMBER 41
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
1100 AM AST SUN SEP 09 2012

...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS AFFECTING BERMUDA AS LESLIE PASSES TO
THE EAST OF THE ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.0N 62.4W
ABOUT 140 MI...230 KM E OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.4 WEST. LESLIE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. A NORTHWARD MOTION
WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY...FOLLOWED BY
A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH
CONTINUEDACCERLERATION TONIGHT AND MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE
CENTER OF LESLIE SHOULD CONTINUE TO PASS EAST OF BERMUDA TODAY...
AND BEGIN TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE ISLAND TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
AND LESLIE COULD REGAIN HURRICANE STRENGTH IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 195 MILES...315 KM
FROM THE CENTER. A WIND GUST TO 53 MPH...85 KM/H...WAS RECENTLY
REPORTED AT BERMUDA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON BERMUDA TODAY...BUT
THESE SHOULD DIMINISH BY TONIGHT.

SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY LESLIE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT BERMUDA...
THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM CENTRAL FLORIDA NORTHWARD...THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES...THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THESE SWELLS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.

RAINFALL...LESLIE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ON BERMUDA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH



559
WTNT33 KNHC 091446
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE MICHAEL ADVISORY NUMBER 26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012
1100 AM AST SUN SEP 09 2012

...MICHAEL TURNS TOWARD THE WEST...
...WEAKENS A LITTLE...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.7N 43.2W
ABOUT 955 MI...1535 KM WSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...978 MB...28.88 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MICHAEL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.2 WEST. MICHAEL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY MONDAY. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST AND THEN NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. MICHAEL IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS...AND MICHAEL IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM BY
TUESDAY.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70
MILES...110 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 978 MB...28.88 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN