Hurricane Michael
Public Advisory 28
841
WTNT33 KNHC 100257
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE MICHAEL ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012
1100 PM AST SUN SEP 09 2012
...MICHAEL UNRAVELLING...
...EXPECTED TO WEAKEN MORE...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.6N 44.4W
ABOUT 1020 MI...1640 KM WSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MICHAEL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 44.4 WEST. MICHAEL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH AN
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY. A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS ANTICIPATED ON TUESDAY NIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. MICHAEL IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND MICHAEL COULD WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM BY TUESDAY
MORNING.
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80
MILES...130 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
030
WTNT32 KNHC 100259
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LESLIE ADVISORY NUMBER 43
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
1100 PM AST SUN SEP 09 2012
...LESLIE CONTINUES TO MOVE AWAY FROM BERMUDA AND COULD AFFECT
NEWFOUNDLAND BY MONDAY NIGHT...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.4N 61.8W
ABOUT 225 MI...365 KM NE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR BERMUDA.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN NEWFOUNDLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LESLIE.
A HURRICANE WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.8 WEST. LESLIE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM BERMUDA THIS EVENING. A TURN TO THE
NORTHEAST WITH A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND LESLIE IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR
NEWFOUNDLAND BY TUESDAY MORNING.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO...AND LESLIE COULD REGAIN HURRICANE STATUS BY TUESDAY. LESLIE
IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN A TRANSFORMATION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL OR
FRONTAL CYCLONE AS IT APPROACHES NEWFOUNDLAND.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 195 MILES...315 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY LESLIE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT BERMUDA...
THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM CENTRAL FLORIDA NORTHWARD...THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES...THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THESE SWELLS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.
RAINFALL...LESLIE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE INCH OR LESS ON BERMUDA.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
