Hurricane Michael
Public Advisory 29
354
WTNT33 KNHC 100842
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE MICHAEL ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012
500 AM AST MON SEP 10 2012
...MICHAEL WEAKENS A LITTLE MORE...
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.5N 45.2W
ABOUT 1065 MI...1715 KM W OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MICHAEL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.2 WEST. MICHAEL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H. MICHAEL IS EXPECTED TO
TURN NORTHWESTWARD BY TONIGHT...AND THEN NORTHWARD OR
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED ON TUESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE DECREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MICHAEL IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. WEAKENING IS FORECAST...
AND MICHAEL COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY TONIGHT.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70
MILES...110 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
013
WTNT32 KNHC 100848
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LESLIE ADVISORY NUMBER 44
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
500 AM AST MON SEP 10 2012
...LESLIE HEADING FOR NEWFOUNDLAND...
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.7N 61.2W
ABOUT 315 MI...505 KM NE OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 870 MI...1395 KM SSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM STONES COVE TO CHARLOTTETOWN
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM INDIAN HARBOUR TO STONES COVE
* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM FOGO ISLAND TO CHARLOTTETOWN
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.2 WEST. LESLIE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H. A
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF LESLIE IS FORECAST TO MOVE OVER SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND
ON TUESDAY MORNING.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
SO...AND LESLIE COULD BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT
APPROACHES NEWFOUNDLAND. LESLIE IS ALSO EXPECTED TO BEGIN A
TRANSFORMATION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL OR FRONTAL CYCLONE AS IT
APPROACHES THE CANADIAN MARITIMES.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY LESLIE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT BERMUDA...
THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM CENTRAL FLORIDA NORTHWARD...AND THE
CANADIAN MARITIMES FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THESE SWELLS COULD
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE FOR MORE
INFORMATION.
RAINFALL...LESLIE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS NEWFOUNDLAND.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
