Hurricane Gonzalo

Public Advisory 10



720
WTNT33 KNHC 142035
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE GONZALO ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014
500 PM AST TUE OCT 14 2014

...GONZALO BECOMES A MAJOR HURRICANE OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC...
...ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING EXPECTED...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.2N 66.0W
ABOUT 330 MI...530 KM E OF GRAND TURK ISLAND
ABOUT 770 MI...1240 KM S OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.64 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GONZALO.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF THE EYE OF HURRICANE
GONZALO WAS LOCATED BY NOAA DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR FROM SAN JUAN
NEAR LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.0 WEST. GONZALO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST BY LATE WEDNESDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GONZALO WILL REMAIN WELL TO THE EAST
OF THE BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.

SATELLITE DATA INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED
TO NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GONZALO IS NOW A
CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
GONZALO IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE ON WEDNESDAY.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM. DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS...NOAA BUOY 41043
LOCATED ABOUT 55 MILES...90 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER OF
GONZALO REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 49 MPH...80 KM/H AND A GUST TO
56 MPH...91 KM/H.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART



720
WTNT33 KNHC 142035
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE GONZALO ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014
500 PM AST TUE OCT 14 2014

...GONZALO BECOMES A MAJOR HURRICANE OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC...
...ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING EXPECTED...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.2N 66.0W
ABOUT 330 MI...530 KM E OF GRAND TURK ISLAND
ABOUT 770 MI...1240 KM S OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.64 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GONZALO.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF THE EYE OF HURRICANE
GONZALO WAS LOCATED BY NOAA DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR FROM SAN JUAN
NEAR LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.0 WEST. GONZALO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST BY LATE WEDNESDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GONZALO WILL REMAIN WELL TO THE EAST
OF THE BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.

SATELLITE DATA INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED
TO NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GONZALO IS NOW A
CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
GONZALO IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE ON WEDNESDAY.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM. DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS...NOAA BUOY 41043
LOCATED ABOUT 55 MILES...90 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER OF
GONZALO REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 49 MPH...80 KM/H AND A GUST TO
56 MPH...91 KM/H.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART