Hurricane Michelle

Forecast Advisory 30

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000
WTNT35 KNHC 060257
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE MICHELLE ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM EST MON NOV 05 2001

...MICHELLES WINDS NEAR 85 MPH...

AT 11 PM EST...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS
DISCONTINUED ALL WARNINGS FOR THE BAHAMAS. INTERESTS THERE SHOULD
EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.

AT 10 PM EST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MICHELLE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.8 WEST OR ABOUT 680
MILES...1100 KM...SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA.

MICHELLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NORTHEAST NEAR 21 MPH
...33 KM/HR...AND THIS DIRECTION OF MOTION...WITH SOME INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED...IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE INDICATE THAT
MICHELLE HAD NOT WEAKENED AS MUCH AS EARLIER ESTIMATED. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. HOWEVER...SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 230 MILES...370 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 10 PM EST POSITION...26.5 N... 73.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST NORTHEAST NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 980 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 AM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM EST...TUESDAY.

FORECASTER PASCH




000
WTNT31 KNHC 060258
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NOEL ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST MON NOV 05 2001

...NOEL WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC...

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NOEL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 40.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.5 WEST OR ABOUT 465
MILES...750 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND.

NOEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH
...19 KM/HR...AND A NORTH TO NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH
INCREASING FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON
THIS TRACK...NOEL WILL BE PASSING EAST OF BERMUDA ON TUESDAY.

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT NOEL HAS WEAKENED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FURTHER
WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 345 MILES
...555 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...40.4 N... 49.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM AST...TUESDAY.

FORECASTER PASCH