Hurricane Noel
Forecast Advisory 4
000
WTNT31 KNHC 060822
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NOEL ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST TUE NOV 06 2001
...NOEL WEAKENING AND LOSING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS OVER THE COLD
NORTH ATLANTIC...ONLY A THREAT TO SHIPPING...
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE BROAD CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NOEL
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 42.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.0 WEST OR
ABOUT 360 MILES...580 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND.
NOEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH
A STEADY INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...NOEL WILL BE
PASSING EAST OF NEWFOUNDLAND LATER TODAY AND WILL PRIMARILY BE ONLY
A THREAT TO SHIPPING. STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE
SOUTHEASTERN AND NORTHERN GRAND BANKS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NOEL IS
EXPECTED TO EVENTUALLY BECOME ABSORBED BY A LARGER WINTER STORM
SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS NEWFOUNDLAND LATER TODAY OR ON WEDNESDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 345 MILES
...555 KM FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...42.3 N... 49.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 984 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 11 AM AST.
FORECASTER STEWART
000
WTNT35 KNHC 060833
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE MICHELLE ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM EST TUE NOV 06 2001
...MICHELLE GRADUALLY LOSING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS...EXPECTED TO
PASS SOUTH OF BERMUDA LATER TODAY...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
INTERESTS IN THE BAHAMAS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL
WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
AT 4 AM EST...0900Z...THE BROAD CENTER OF HURRICANE MICHELLE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.7 WEST OR ABOUT
552 MILES...890 KM...SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA.
MICHELLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 21 MPH
...33 KM/HR...AND THIS DIRECTION OF MOTION...WITH SOME INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED...IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
EARLIER REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
INDICATE THAT MICHELLE HAS NOT WEAKENED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
REMAIN NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HOWEVER...SOME
WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND MICHELLE MAY LOSE
ITS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AND BECOME AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM LATER TODAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 290 MILES...465 KM.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 977 MB...28.85 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 4 AM EST POSITION...27.2 N... 71.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 977 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 7 AM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY
AT 10 AM EST.
FORECASTER STEWART
