Tropical Storm Bertha
Forecast Advisory 3
000
WTNT32 KNHC 050216
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT SUN AUG 04 2002
...BERTHA MOVING CLOSER TO SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE MISSISSIPPI AND
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COASTS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI WEST AND
SOUTH TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...INCLUDING LAKE BORGNE
AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.4 WEST OR ABOUT
45 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA.
BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH AND THIS MOTION
SHOULD CONTINUE TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING...WITH A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. ON THIS TRACK...THE
BROAD CENTER OF BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO PASS CLOSE TO THE NEW ORLEANS
METROPOLITAN AREA EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE CENTER OF
BERTHA MAKES LANDFALL.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...MAINLY
NORTH OF THE CENTER.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS
IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO BE HEAVY RAINFALL AND
POSSIBLE INLAND FRESH WATER FLOODING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA WITH LESSER AMOUNTS
FARTHER EAST OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET IS POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA.
A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FROM ALABAMA EASTWARD TO THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE. CONSULT YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.
REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...29.6 N... 89.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM CDT...MONDAY.
FORECASTER STEWART
