Tropical Storm Bertha

Forecast Advisory 15



000
WTNT32 KNHC 080844
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT THU AUG 08 2002

...DEPRESSION BERTHA STILL WEAK...HEADING FOR THE SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS COAST...

ALL INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...PRIMARILY ALONG
THE SOUTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS COAST...SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERTHA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.8 WEST OR ABOUT
155 MILES...250 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH
...13 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER
TODAY. ON THIS TRACK...BERTHA WOULD MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTH
TEXAS COAST EARLY ON FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ALTHOUGH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED...THERE IS A
POSSIBILITY THAT BERTHA COULD REGAIN TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH PRIOR
TO LANDFALL.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...28.2 N... 94.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
10 AM CDT.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN




000
WTNT33 KNHC 080849
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT THU AUG 08 2002

...CRISTOBAL EDGES EASTWARD...

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.7 WEST OR ABOUT
395 MILES...635 KM...EAST OF ST. AUGUSTINE FLORIDA.

CRISTOBAL IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 5 MPH... 7 KM/HR...AND A
SLOW EAST OR EAST-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES
...220 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...29.5 N... 74.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM EDT.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN