Tropical Storm Dolly

Forecast Advisory 6



000
WTNT34 KNHC 302027
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DOLLY ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST FRI AUG 30 2002

...DOLLY NOT STRONG AS ESTIMATED EARLIER TODAY...

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 38.8 WEST
OR ABOUT 1480 MILES...2380 KM...EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.

DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH ...30 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

DOLLY HAS UNEXPECTEDLY WEAKENED SOME DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR
...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES
...140 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...10.6 N... 38.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM AST.

FORECASTER AVILA