Tropical Storm Dolly

Forecast Advisory 14

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000
WTNT35 KNHC 012033
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SUN SEP 01 2002

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE DEVELOPS JUST EAST OF THE NORTHEAST
FLORIDA COAST...

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS FROM NORTH OF TITUSVILLE
FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO BRUNSWICK GEORGIA.

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.2 WEST OR ABOUT
115 MILES...EAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH
AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT
OR ON MONDAY. HOWEVER...STEERING CURRENTS ARE WEAK AND SOME ERRATIC
MOTION IS POSSIBLE.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY MONDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1013 MB...29.91 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...29.0 N... 79.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1013 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT.

FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTNT34 KNHC 012039
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DOLLY ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SUN SEP 01 2002

...DOLLY STRENGTHENS SLIGHTLY OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC...

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.9 WEST OR
ABOUT 600 MILES...965 KM...EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...DOLLY IS NOT EXPECTED TO THREATEN ANY
LAND AREAS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES
... 75 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...16.1 N... 51.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 11 PM AST.

FORECASTER STEWART