Tropical Storm Dolly

Forecast Advisory 21



000
WTNT35 KNHC 031433
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT TUE SEP 03 2002

...EDOUARD STRONGER...BUT STILL MOVING LITTLE...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH
TO FERNANDINA BEACH FLORIDA. AN EXTENSION OF THE WATCH AREA
SOUTHWARD MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
EDOUARD WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.3 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 78.6 WEST OR ABOUT 180 MILES EAST OF JACKSONVILLE
FLORIDA.

EDOUARD HAS BEEN MEANDERING...BUT A SLOW MOTION TO THE
WEST-SOUTHWEST OR SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER TODAY OR
TONIGHT.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
INDICATE THAT EDOUARD HAS STRENGTHENED...AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE NEAR 65 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS STRENGTHENING TREND IS
NOT EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...AND SLIGHT WEAKENING IS MORE LIKELY
TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES
...165 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...30.3 N... 78.6 W. MOVEMENT
...STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN




000
WTNT34 KNHC 031443
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DOLLY ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST TUE SEP 03 2002

...DOLLY RELOCATED A LITTLE BIT TO THE EAST...

SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW THAT THE CENTER OF DOLLY WAS FARTHER TO THE
EAST THAN PREVIOUSLY INDICATED. AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF
TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.5 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 53.0 WEST OR ABOUT 690 MILES...1115 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF
THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES
... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...21.5 N... 53.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM AST.

FORECASTER AVILA