Tropical Storm Fay

Forecast Advisory 2

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000
WTNT31 KNHC 060239
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT THU SEP 05 2002

...TROPICAL STORM FAY...THE SIXTH OF THE SEASON...FORMS IN THE GULF
OF MEXICO...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MATAGORDA TEXAS TO
INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN
24 HOURS.

A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE FOUND STRONG ENOUGH WINDS TO UPGRADE TROPICAL
DEPRESSION SIX TO TROPICAL STORM FAY.

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
FAY WAS ESTIAMTED TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 28.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.3
WEST OR ABOUT 125 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS.

FAY IS NEARLY STATIONARY AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH
FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...BUT ONLY
TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH LOCAL
AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 10 INCHES NEAR THE COASTLINE.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS WITH ONSHORE FLOW WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...28.0 N... 93.3 W. MOVEMENT
...STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM
CDT...FRIDAY.

FORECASTER AVILA





000
WTNT35 KNHC 060245
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EDOUARD ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT THU SEP 05 2002

...TENACIOUS EDOUARD MOVING WESTWARD...

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION EDOUARD WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 84.3 WEST OR ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
APALACHICOLA FLORIDA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH
...13 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 25 MPH... 35 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...28.4 N... 84.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 25 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 AM EDT...FRIDAY.

FORECASTER AVILA