Tropical Storm Fay

Forecast Advisory 6

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000
WTNT31 KNHC 070240
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT FRI SEP 06 2002

...FAY BARELY MOVING...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM PORT ARANSAS TEXAS TO
INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM PORT OCONNOR TO HIGH ISLAND
TEXAS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.0 WEST OR
ABOUT 105 MILES...SOUTH OF GALVESTON TEXAS.

FAY HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY BUT A GENERAL WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST
DRIFT SHOULD BEGIN ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND WINDS
COULD APPROACH HURRICANE STRENGTH PRIOR TO LANDFALL.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES TO THE
NORTH OF THE CENTER. SURFACE REPORTS INDICATE THAT TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE OCCURRING OFFSHORE ALONG THE UPPER TEXAS COAST.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. A
RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WILL BE IN THE AREA SHORTLY.

TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS IN ASSOCIATION WITH FAY OF 4 TO 8
INCHES ARE EXPECTED...MAINLY NORTH OF THE CENTER...WITH SOME LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.

THE STORM SURGE IS FORECAST TO REACH 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS IN THE WARNING AREA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN
LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS.

REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...28.0 N... 95.0 W. MOVEMENT
...STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 998 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM
CDT...SATURDAY.

FORECASTER AVILA