Tropical Storm Fay

Forecast Advisory 7

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000
WTNT31 KNHC 070838
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT SAT SEP 07 2002

...FAY MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...HAS NOT STRENGTHENED...

AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN
EFFECT FROM PORT ARANSAS TO HIGH ISLAND TEXAS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM PORT OCONNOR TO HIGH ISLAND
TEXAS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 28.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 95.8 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MATAGORDA TEXAS.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL
CROSS THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THERE
IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF STRENGTHENING BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES
THE COAST.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES
MAINLY NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS IN ASSOCIATION WITH FAY OF 4 TO 8
INCHES ARE EXPECTED...MAINLY NORTH OF THE CENTER...WITH SOME LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

A STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS LIKELY IN
THE WARNING AREA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS
AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA TODAY.

REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...28.1 N... 95.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 999 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 AM CDT.

FORECASTER PASCH