Hurricane Gustav
Forecast Advisory 3
000
WTNT33 KNHC 090243
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
SUBTROPICAL STORM GUSTAV ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SUN SEP 08 2002
...GUSTAV BEGINNING TO LOOK MORE TROPICAL...
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...A PORTION OF THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS
BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM CAPE FEAR NORTH
CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NORTH CAROLINA...
INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS.
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED
FROM NORTH OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NORTHWARD TO PARRAMORE ISLAND
VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE SOUTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT
COMFORT VIRGINIA.
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM GUSTAV WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.6 WEST OR ABOUT
330 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.
THE STORM IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A
GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER WILL
APPROACH THE MID-ATLANTIC U.S. COAST LATE MONDAY OR EARLY TUESDAY.
HOWEVER...SOME ERRATIC MOTION IS POSSIBLE FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR
SO UNTIL THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION BECOMES BETTER DEFINED.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG WITH HIGH SURF CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP
ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NEW JERSEY SOUTHWARD TO THE CENTRAL
FLORIDA COAST ON MONDAY.
REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...31.2 N... 72.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM EDT...MONDAY.
FORECASTER STEWART
